Prediction Markets

Oracle layers: 2.0 + 3.0 + 4.0 | Status: Live

Prediction markets are the ideal first application because every market is effectively a unique oracle query. A traditional oracle can easily answer "Will BTC be above $100K at 4 PM?" but markets also ask questions that exercise the full stack:

Market Type	Oracle Layer	Example
Structured price conditions	2.0 (Semantic)	"Was BTC's 30-min VWAP above $100K across 3 exchanges?"
Unstructured real-world events	3.0 (Intelligence)	"Did the government shut down?" / "Did a regulator approve the ETF?"
Open-ended event monitoring	4.0 (Agentic)	"Will Company X announce a product this quarter?" — requires persistent agent monitoring

For traditional infrastructure, each of these becomes a custom feed or integration. For Cournot, the market rule itself becomes the oracle query.

Cournot is already serving platforms such as 42 Space as an official resolution oracle, resolving markets across crypto, sports, politics, and current events.